Cubs vs. Reds Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread - May 27
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Published: May. 27, 2023 at 12:44 PM CDT|Updated: May. 27, 2023 at 5:51 PM CDT
Saturday's game at Wrigley Field has the Chicago Cubs (22-28) taking on the Cincinnati Reds (22-29) at 7:15 PM ET (on May 27). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 6-5 victory for the Cubs, so expect a competitive matchup.
The Cubs will give the nod to Jameson Taillon (0-3, 7.76 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 1 on the season, and the Reds will counter with Brandon Williamson.
Cubs vs. Reds Game Info & Odds
- When: Saturday, May 27, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET
- Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
- How to Watch on TV: FOX
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
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Cubs vs. Reds Score Prediction
Our prediction for this contest is Cubs 6, Reds 5.
Total Prediction for Cubs vs. Reds
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Discover More About This Game
Cubs Performance Insights
- The Cubs have played as the favorite in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Chicago and its opponents have failed to hit the over twice.
- The Cubs have a record of 1-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
- This season, the Cubs have won 12 out of the 25 games, or 48%, in which they've been favored.
- This season Chicago has won two of its five games when favored by at least -175 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 63.6%.
- Chicago has scored the 13th-most runs in the majors this season with 232 (4.6 per game).
- The Cubs' 4.16 team ERA ranks 15th among all league pitching staffs.
Reds Performance Insights
- The Reds have played as the underdog in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 4-6 in those contests.
- In its last 10 games with an over/under, Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total six times.
- The Reds have covered the runline in the one of their previous 10 games that had a set spread.
- The Reds have been victorious in 15, or 39.5%, of the 38 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 5-8 when favored by +145 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 40.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- The offense for Cincinnati is the No. 18 offense in the majors, scoring 4.4 runs per game (226 total runs).
- The Reds have pitched to a 4.90 ERA this season, which ranks 27th in baseball.
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Cubs Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
May 21 | @ Phillies | L 2-1 | Justin Steele vs Taijuan Walker |
May 23 | Mets | W 7-2 | Drew Smyly vs Tylor Megill |
May 24 | Mets | W 4-2 | Marcus Stroman vs Kodai Senga |
May 25 | Mets | L 10-1 | Kyle Hendricks vs Carlos Carrasco |
May 26 | Reds | L 9-0 | Justin Steele vs Hunter Greene |
May 27 | Reds | - | Jameson Taillon vs Brandon Williamson |
May 28 | Reds | - | Drew Smyly vs Graham Ashcraft |
May 29 | Rays | - | Marcus Stroman vs Shane McClanahan |
May 30 | Rays | - | Kyle Hendricks vs Zach Eflin |
May 31 | Rays | - | Justin Steele vs TBA |
June 2 | @ Padres | - | Jameson Taillon vs Michael Wacha |
Reds Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
May 22 | Cardinals | W 6-5 | Brandon Williamson vs Jordan Montgomery |
May 23 | Cardinals | L 8-5 | Graham Ashcraft vs Adam Wainwright |
May 24 | Cardinals | W 10-3 | Ben Lively vs Steven Matz |
May 25 | Cardinals | L 2-1 | Luke Weaver vs Miles Mikolas |
May 26 | @ Cubs | W 9-0 | Hunter Greene vs Justin Steele |
May 27 | @ Cubs | - | Brandon Williamson vs Jameson Taillon |
May 28 | @ Cubs | - | Graham Ashcraft vs Drew Smyly |
May 30 | @ Red Sox | - | Ben Lively vs Brayan Bello |
May 31 | @ Red Sox | - | Luke Weaver vs James Paxton |
June 1 | @ Red Sox | - | Hunter Greene vs Chris Sale |
June 2 | Brewers | - | Brandon Williamson vs Corbin Burnes |
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